
Volume
$394K
Txns
2,500
Traders
425
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 22, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$114Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$80.8Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 92%$3.14Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$85.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$57.7Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x84DE2A3148dc815eF811D0a9cD11560e622a77b1-1764118148597 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 5mo | NN2000X | Yes / 99.9¢ | -409.79 | $409 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +409.79 | $409 | |
| 5mo | 2117 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7,826.37 | $7.82K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,826.37 | $2.82K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,783.61 | $2.78K | |
| 5mo | d2600 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Bska36 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 2117 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 5mo | orin40 | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | EnzoFabi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,916.39 | $1.91K | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | EnzoFabi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +305.61 | $305 | |
| 5mo | sigmatrail | Yes / 99.9¢ | -405.61 | $405 | |
| 5mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,201.20 | $1.2K | |
| 5mo | hell0pia | Yes / 99.9¢ | -21,060.43 | $21K | |
| 5mo | LINKEIN | Yes / 99.9¢ | +18,894.08 | $18.9K | |
| 5mo | 0x4e84...4bef69 | No / 0.1¢ | -965.15 | $0.97 | |
| 5mo | RealAB | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | LINKEIN | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | LINKEIN | Yes / 99.9¢ | +105.92 | $106 | |
| 5mo | Makise.Kurisu | Yes / 99.9¢ | -105.92 | $106 | |
| 5mo | yougotme | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 |
1–25