
Volume
$2M
Txns
8,340
Traders
1,171
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by December 15, 2025, 11:59PM ET. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 Flash must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 Flash refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 Flash. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.23Mvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$811Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$352Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.09Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 91%$1.78Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0.1020 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.35 | $1.35 | |
| 5mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.35 | $1.35 | |
| 5mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +30.15 | $30.1 | |
| 5mo | xingyue888 | No / 99.9¢ | -30.15 | $30.1 | |
| 5mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +15.70 | $15.7 | |
| 5mo | vestige | No / 99.9¢ | -15.70 | $15.7 | |
| 5mo | FlexPower | Yes / 0.1¢ | -198.11 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +301.89 | $302 | |
| 5mo | Dumdum-1758369151829 | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | asdhjkh06 | No / 99.9¢ | -102.06 | $102 | |
| 5mo | FlexPower | Yes / 0.1¢ | -102.06 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | meowtai | No / 99.9¢ | +419.99 | $420 | |
| 5mo | fffffuin | No / 99.9¢ | -419.99 | $420 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | -338.00 | $338 | |
| 5mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.9¢ | +348.00 | $348 | |
| 5mo | aikko | No / 99.6¢ | +1,269.86 | $1.26K | |
| 5mo | 0x09f0Df75a09e784daa2E7d002eA093409E611E82-1764275636558 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +2,500.00 | $9.25 | |
| 5mo | renzent | No / 99.6¢ | +485.00 | $483 | |
| 5mo | Jaytje | Yes / 0.3¢ | -407.14 | $1.22 | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | No / 99.7¢ | +338.00 | $337 | |
| 5mo | inline | No / 99.6¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 5mo | renzent | No / 99.6¢ | +15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 5mo | frankxyz | No / 99.7¢ | +5,000.00 | $4.99K | |
| 5mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5,000.00 | $15 |
1–25