
Volume
$21K
Txns
326
Traders
93
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between September 3, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$19.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.09Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.91Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.89 | $2.89 | |
| 9mo | c98aboo11 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.89 | $2.89 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +128.20 | $128 | |
| 9mo | HilaryGarden | Yes / 99.9¢ | -128.20 | $128 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.52 | $10.5 | |
| 9mo | Roulinette | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.52 | $10.5 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.49 | $8.48 | |
| 9mo | Giorgio2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.49 | $8.48 | |
| 9mo | Giorgio2 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -675.42 | $669 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.0¢ | +675.42 | $669 | |
| 9mo | Seluj | No / 1.0¢ | -84.58 | $0.85 | |
| 9mo | Giorgio2 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -84.58 | $83.7 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.0¢ | -2,018.54 | $2K | |
| 9mo | SPIT | Yes / 99.0¢ | +2,018.54 | $2K | |
| 9mo | nicoco89 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1,553.54 | $1.54K | |
| 9mo | assertequal | No / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 9mo | theta-thunberg | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,768.54 | $1.75K | |
| 9mo | 0x65484B65936FAe40b0d4982479b29320b85E9108-1744200090360 | Yes / 94.0¢ | -15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 9mo | nicoco89 | Yes / 84.7¢ | +1,553.53 | $1.32K | |
| 9mo | Bundt-cake | No / 12.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $120 | |
| 9mo | yoyo424269 | No / 22.0¢ | +38.53 | $8.48 | |
| 9mo | BridgeLake | No / 21.0¢ | +500.00 | $105 | |
| 9mo | 0xd7d5...4caf7f | No / 25.0¢ | +15.00 | $3.75 | |
| 9mo | Giorgio2 | Yes / 74.1¢ | +104.44 | $77.4 | |
| 9mo | yoyo424269 | Yes / 73.0¢ | -25.98 | $19 |
1–25