
Volume
$2K
Txns
95
Traders
42
Fees
$7
Liquidity
$8,394
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h | PPMT | Yes / 3.8¢ | -30.00 | $1.15 | |
| 16h | sryiwantnotrouble | Yes / 4.0¢ | +30.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1d | peepeepooppoop | No / 95.0¢ | +100.00 | $95 | |
| 1d | 0xE0D5E10bdCcC78932af31fc2D099cEC299192627-1775832087365 | Yes / 5.3¢ | +189.86 | $10.4 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 95.0¢ | +28.95 | $27.5 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 94.0¢ | +50.69 | $47.7 | |
| 1d | kstc19 | No / 95.0¢ | +10.22 | $9.71 | |
| 3d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -15.00 | $0.75 | |
| 3d | 0x1943...ef12f2 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.04 | |
| 3d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.25 | |
| 3d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +51.00 | $2.55 | |
| 3d | h038596027355 | No / 95.0¢ | +51.00 | $48.5 | |
| 3d | dsrghads | No / 95.0¢ | +5.15 | $4.9 | |
| 3d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | +5.15 | $0.26 | |
| 3d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 94.0¢ | +57.68 | $54.2 | |
| 3d | 0xb3CE2323a02f18ee19A56985dCA9A06D9041B41c-1778223091113 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +166.67 | $10.4 | |
| 3d | DooBieZ | Yes / 6.0¢ | -108.99 | $6.54 | |
| 4d | avmsh | Yes / 5.7¢ | +121.80 | $7.26 | |
| 4d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | -23.05 | $1.15 | |
| 4d | DooBieZ | Yes / 6.0¢ | -91.01 | $5.46 | |
| 4d | kstc17a | No / 95.0¢ | +7.74 | $7.35 | |
| 4d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | -7.95 | $0.4 | |
| 4d | white-whale-83 | No / 94.8¢ | -7.95 | $7.54 | |
| 4d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 5.0¢ | -20.00 | $1 | |
| 4d | misterwilly | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.04 |
1–25
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 75%$73.5Kvolume
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Yes 70%$20.4Kvolume
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 99%$145Kvolume
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Yes 97%$42.7Kvolume
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
No 79%$1.25Kvolume
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 82%$74.3Kvolume