
Volume
$541K
Txns
1,189
Traders
242
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between September 18 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27–28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no relevant statement is released for this meeting by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes 100%$231Kvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 58%$1.79Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | fiatboy69 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | -1,194.49 | $1.19 | |
| 7mo | StingerT | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,194.49 | $1.19K | |
| 7mo | debased | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15,268.81 | $15.3K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | -15,268.81 | $15.3 | |
| 7mo | stiviofitaly | No / 0.1¢ | +32,990.00 | $33 | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | -32,990.00 | $33 | |
| 7mo | stiviofitaly | No / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | -18,000.00 | $18 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,611.62 | $1.61K | |
| 7mo | TheRealWarMonger | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,611.62 | $1.61K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 7mo | KimsCrunchCut | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | ilovecircle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,010.00 | $6K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | +60,102.00 | $60.1 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +54,092.00 | $54K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,010.00 | $6K | |
| 7mo | NeymarJr | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 |
1–25