
Volume
$70M
Txns
199,165
Traders
17,205
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 10, 2025
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 9 - 10, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.58Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.65Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77%$5.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.40 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Fhhvcx | No / 99.9¢ | -100.40 | $100 | |
| 6mo | 0xdf8e50Eec41e7f3753A9480E304f6d1555216B32-1765368184115 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | Menshy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | hanklle | No / 99.9¢ | -146.91 | $147 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -146.91 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | 0xBC3ee5041B4c28B1A9c13A10c1E559B29ee75902-1765392085384 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 6mo | Kareka | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 6mo | 0xBC3ee5041B4c28B1A9c13A10c1E559B29ee75902-1765392085384 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | blackhawktony | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 6mo | blackhawktony | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0x3B2D04E5f125875664C906f64C23E76e1aeB57b5-1765393606039 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0x3B2D04E5f125875664C906f64C23E76e1aeB57b5-1765393606039 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | sheelamehta.Base.eth | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25