
Volume
$3M
Txns
5,683
Traders
629
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 7, 2025
On August 27, there was a mass shooting in a Minneapolis Catholic school (see: https://apnews.com/live/minneapolis-annunciation-school-shooting) This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the August 27 shooter identified as transgender. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once there have been statements from relevant law enforcement confirming whether the shooter was transgender. If no definitive statement has been made by September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely (e.g., if they have not indicated the suspect was a transgender actor, the market would resolve to "No"). The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements relevant law enforcement agencies.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 9mo | sebel156 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 9mo | cyalive | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,320.00 | $4.32K | |
| 9mo | Adityachess | No / 0.1¢ | +4,320.00 | $4.32 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 9mo | homeinvansion | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | ZVOix | Yes / 99.9¢ | -61.80 | $61.7 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +61.80 | $61.7 | |
| 9mo | predocter | No / 0.1¢ | +1,330.00 | $1.33 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,330.00 | $1.33K | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5K | |
| 9mo | hacker717 | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 9mo | hacker717 | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 9mo | 0x3952982E7715C5E03245535A5C6783046F361EcC-1757547420526 | No / 0.1¢ | +7,210.00 | $7.21 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,210.00 | $7.2K | |
| 9mo | s4qib | No / 0.1¢ | +7,000.00 | $7 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,000.00 | $6.99K | |
| 9mo | seballstian | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 9mo | 0x2e1eDC35d3f703c7B82B2A300E01581b6E5ee5e1-1757540692348 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 9mo | OrangeHat | No / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 |
1–25
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
No 100%$157Kvolume
Will the next Pope be from South America?
No 100%$198Kvolume
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
No 100%$360Kvolume
Will the next Pope be from Africa?
No 100%$528Kvolume
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?
No 100%$818Kvolume
Will the next Pope be from Asia?
No 100%$274Kvolume