
Volume
$188K
Txns
1,914
Traders
352
Fees
$364
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 75%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 78%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,333.00 | $3.33 | |
| 1mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,501.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +333.00 | $0.33 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 1mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 1mo | akko123 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,333.00 | $3.33 | |
| 1mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +293.99 | $0.29 | |
| 1mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +12,626.99 | $12.6K | |
| 1mo | AllByMyseIf | No / 99.8¢ | -174.77 | $174 | |
| 1mo | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.2¢ | +888.00 | $1.78 | |
| 1mo | thcdmz | No / 99.8¢ | +1,496.77 | $1.49K | |
| 1mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.3¢ | +434.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1mo | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 0.4¢ | +288.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.4¢ | +253.16 | $1.01 | |
| 1mo | Hot-Skull | No / 99.6¢ | +541.16 | $539 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.3¢ | +50.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.3¢ | -100.00 | $0.29 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1mo | phildubuy | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +5,662.27 | $5.61K | |
| 1mo | 0xcAF1946d13A1A7967f5d3c76780D012E56b09ad1-1775146417402 | No / 99.0¢ | -5,662.27 | $5.61K | |
| 1mo | Kotaki | No / 98.1¢ | -1.01 | $0.99 |
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