
Volume
$127K
Txns
1,786
Traders
338
Fees
$360
Liquidity
$5,463
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | Larnor | No / 96.8¢ | -3.46 | $3.35 | |
| 6h | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 3.1¢ | -3.46 | $0.11 | |
| 19h | 16h | Yes / 3.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.17 | |
| 19h | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 3.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1d | Colala | No / 96.7¢ | -31.10 | $30.1 | |
| 1d | jijitmu | No / 96.7¢ | +111.28 | $108 | |
| 1d | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 3.4¢ | +11.40 | $0.39 | |
| 1d | alexkrg | Yes / 3.2¢ | +62.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1d | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 3.3¢ | +6.78 | $0.22 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 4.0¢ | -100.00 | $4 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 4.1¢ | -33.51 | $1.37 | |
| 1d | Colala | Yes / 3.9¢ | -59.90 | $2.34 | |
| 1d | Colala | No / 96.1¢ | +30.00 | $28.8 | |
| 1d | TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer | Yes / 4.0¢ | +223.41 | $9.22 | |
| 1d | TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer | Yes / 1.9¢ | +403.03 | $7.86 | |
| 1d | alexkrg | Yes / 1.3¢ | -82.00 | $1.07 | |
| 1d | socksgreen3 | Yes / 3.9¢ | -9.05 | $0.35 | |
| 1d | acc32 | Yes / 1.3¢ | -76.92 | $1 | |
| 1d | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -83.31 | $1.75 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 4.2¢ | -19.01 | $0.8 | |
| 1d | 56sdfdsfs | Yes / 1.2¢ | -7.20 | $0.09 | |
| 1d | flexer78 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -55.54 | $1.11 | |
| 1d | happshi-tens | No / 98.6¢ | +54.00 | $53.2 | |
| 1d | Haradwaith | Yes / 4.0¢ | -16.00 | $0.64 | |
| 2d | ultralisk | Yes / 1.1¢ | -38.00 | $0.4 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume