
Volume
$6,892
Txns
641
Traders
72
Fees
$27
Liquidity
$8,839
Ends
May 11, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | hnm25 | Yes / 2.4¢ | +30.00 | $0.72 | |
| 3m | Ondra | Yes / 2.3¢ | -30.00 | $0.68 | |
| 7m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes / 2.3¢ | -45.50 | $1.05 | |
| 7m | Ondra | Yes / 2.3¢ | +45.50 | $1.1 | |
| 11m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes / 1.8¢ | +90.00 | $1.62 | |
| 11m | Ondra | Yes / 1.7¢ | -90.00 | $1.54 | |
| 11m | hnm25 | Yes / 2.2¢ | -30.00 | $0.66 | |
| 11m | Ondra | Yes / 2.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.69 | |
| 17m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes / 2.3¢ | -43.69 | $1 | |
| 17m | Ondra | Yes / 2.3¢ | +43.69 | $1.05 | |
| 23m | o2xta | Yes / 2.4¢ | +50.00 | $1.2 | |
| 23m | Ondra | Yes / 2.3¢ | -50.00 | $1.14 | |
| 24m | Ondra | Yes / 2.4¢ | +30.43 | $0.73 | |
| 24m | t0x010 | No / 97.6¢ | +30.43 | $29.7 | |
| 26m | 0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395 | No / 97.6¢ | +7.00 | $6.83 | |
| 26m | Ondra | Yes / 2.4¢ | +7.00 | $0.18 | |
| 26m | Ondra | Yes / 2.4¢ | +59.40 | $1.43 | |
| 26m | Colala | Yes / 2.3¢ | -59.40 | $1.36 | |
| 29m | Colala | Yes / 2.0¢ | +60.00 | $1.2 | |
| 29m | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 1.9¢ | +36.00 | $0.68 | |
| 29m | Ondra | Yes / 1.9¢ | -96.00 | $1.79 | |
| 30m | 0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395 | No / 98.1¢ | +7.00 | $6.87 | |
| 30m | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 1.9¢ | +7.00 | $0.14 | |
| 31m | MartinPNZ | Yes / 1.6¢ | +50.00 | $0.8 | |
| 31m | 0x5Bff2c207f1161e8328555ADFDB8F39c003bE08F-1770263456068 | Yes / 1.6¢ | +215.00 | $3.44 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83% · $30.3M volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 97% · $2.23M volume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $3.16M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 81% · $301K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 93% · $628K volume
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $2.74M volume