
Volume
$1,384
Txns
104
Traders
51
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$70,335
Ends
May 11, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23h | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.02 | $0.03 | |
| 23h | nononononononononono | No / 99.9¢ | -25.02 | $25 | |
| 1d | Frank2345 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1d | hnm25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -918.61 | $0.87 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1d | MartinPNZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +533.61 | $0.53 | |
| 1d | o2xta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1d | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.99 | $0.95 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +999.99 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | MartinPNZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | +466.39 | $0.47 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -622.39 | $0.59 | |
| 1d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1d | SchuylerPalmer | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1d | kggrrer | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | nfseewsd | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | ndfgefee | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1d | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | ngrtss | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83% · $30.3M volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 97% · $2.27M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 76% · $333K volume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $3.17M volume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100% · $359K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 94% · $636K volume