
Volume
$4,329
Txns
173
Traders
76
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$79,584
Ends
May 11, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 21h | syngencat | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 21h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | +180.92 | $0.18 | |
| 21h | syngencat | Yes / 0.1¢ | -180.92 | $0.17 | |
| 21h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | +819.08 | $0.82 | |
| 21h | fuuufu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $0.95 | |
| 21h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +180.92 | $0.18 | |
| 21h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | -76.00 | $0.07 | |
| 21h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 21h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 21h | MorganTorbians | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 22h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | -234.00 | $0.22 | |
| 22h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +234.00 | $0.23 | |
| 22h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.00 | $0.06 | |
| 22h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | -56.00 | $0.05 | |
| 22h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | -49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 22h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 22h | jangjan | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 22h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 23h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +299.94 | $0.3 | |
| 23h | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +284.06 | $0.28 | |
| 23h | catgrino | Yes / 0.1¢ | -584.00 | $0.55 | |
| 23h | 6ashfdbshgf | No / 99.9¢ | +300.30 | $300 | |
| 23h | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.30 | $0.3 | |
| 23h | jke5 | No / 99.9¢ | +25.03 | $25 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83% · $30.3M volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 97% · $2.27M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 76% · $333K volume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $3.17M volume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100% · $359K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 94% · $636K volume