
Volume
$105K
Txns
1,415
Traders
375
Fees
$14
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$8.05Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Yes 100%$448Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
No 100%$346Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
No 100%$276Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$2.24Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$40.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Hugin-og-Munin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,070.00 | $1.12 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,070.00 | $1.07 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | jasoncookk | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.05 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1mo | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,100.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,968.66 | $1.97 | |
| 1mo | Phanta | No / 99.9¢ | -1,968.66 | $1.97K | |
| 1mo | Annica | Yes / 0.1¢ | -35.60 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.60 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.40 | $0.04 |
1–25