
Volume
$4K
Txns
509
Traders
181
Fees
$6
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Yes 100%$257Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.88Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
No 100%$202Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Yes 54%$189Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 85%$195Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -187.00 | $0.19 | |
| 1mo | Hugin-og-Munin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,070.00 | $1.12 | |
| 1mo | 0xa3Def8b2dd3149aB28625e695F71117B851c90AD-1777970335853 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -883.00 | $0.88 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.60 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -35.60 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.40 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -39.40 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -43.71 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.71 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | sparklepen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | aHjCz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 |
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