
Volume
$5,862
Txns
299
Traders
91
Fees
$23
Liquidity
$29,737
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 99% · $48.1M volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 100% · $437K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98% · $1.18M volume
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $4.1M volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 99% · $229K volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
No 71% · $219K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | amy888 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +20.00 | $3.4 | |
| 2m | Elastin | Yes / 16.3¢ | -20.00 | $3.26 | |
| 4m | trnbvc | Yes / 18.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.8 | |
| 4m | amy888 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +42.00 | $7.14 | |
| 4m | nice5894723 | No / 83.4¢ | +51.63 | $43.1 | |
| 42m | Bitgod | No / 81.0¢ | +12.00 | $9.72 | |
| 42m | 0x29BCB7AE284d68e1b8De2a75b62a7204a675E100-1774439693415 | Yes / 19.1¢ | +11.91 | $2.28 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 18.0¢ | -13.75 | $2.48 | |
| 1h | Bitgod | No / 82.0¢ | +50.00 | $41 | |
| 1h | Dr.napol | No / 81.0¢ | +64.63 | $52.4 | |
| 1h | 0x5567...7c6178 | No / 81.0¢ | +88.21 | $71.5 | |
| 1h | 0x5567...7c6178 | No / 81.0¢ | +6.14 | $4.97 | |
| 1h | trnbvc | Yes / 19.0¢ | -10.42 | $1.98 | |
| 1h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 81.0¢ | +12.48 | $10.1 | |
| 1h | Ondra | No / 81.0¢ | +13.00 | $10.5 | |
| 1h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 81.0¢ | +13.06 | $10.6 | |
| 1h | Dr.napol | No / 80.0¢ | +200.00 | $160 | |
| 1h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 80.0¢ | +20.55 | $16.4 | |
| 1h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 79.0¢ | +10.55 | $8.33 | |
| 1h | androidman | No / 79.0¢ | +12.77 | $10.1 | |
| 1h | 0xe907...a0cff6 | Yes / 19.5¢ | +511.53 | $100 | |
| 1h | Glycogen | Yes / 18.0¢ | -24.64 | $4.44 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 18.0¢ | -14.25 | $2.56 | |
| 1h | tzarkoi | Yes / 18.1¢ | +38.60 | $7 | |
| 2h | Glycogen | Yes / 18.0¢ | -4.00 | $0.72 |
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