
Volume
$6,556
Txns
335
Traders
98
Fees
$20
Liquidity
$26,463
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 98% · $48.1M volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 100% · $441K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98% · $1.19M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Yes 55% · $245K volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 99% · $248K volume
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $4.13M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | Colala | No / 82.0¢ | -2.00 | $1.64 | |
| 6m | 0x515f03872A47Bc39b290C134EC727642bcE43583-1775078681186 | Yes / 17.3¢ | -2.00 | $0.35 | |
| 19m | Elastin | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.26 | $1 | |
| 19m | 0x00ed46987139178E93705A912f50f43ea41B7B53-1764159188404 | Yes / 19.1¢ | +5.22 | $1 | |
| 41m | Elastin | Yes / 19.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.95 | |
| 41m | 0x515f03872A47Bc39b290C134EC727642bcE43583-1775078681186 | Yes / 19.1¢ | +4.96 | $0.95 | |
| 46m | Colala | No / 81.0¢ | +45.00 | $36.5 | |
| 46m | ElonButler | Yes / 20.0¢ | -2.62 | $0.52 | |
| 46m | mmkk444 | Yes / 19.2¢ | +47.25 | $9.07 | |
| 47m | Elastin | Yes / 18.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.6 | |
| 47m | winnerPro8 | Yes / 18.0¢ | -74.48 | $13.4 | |
| 47m | Heparin | Yes / 19.0¢ | -60.00 | $11.4 | |
| 47m | Glycogen | Yes / 19.0¢ | -60.00 | $11.4 | |
| 47m | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 81.0¢ | +30.86 | $25 | |
| 47m | neutralwave23 | Yes / 18.8¢ | +243.48 | $45.7 | |
| 1h | dannyboy16 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +60.00 | $10.2 | |
| 1h | Heparin | Yes / 16.3¢ | -60.00 | $9.78 | |
| 1h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.9 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 81.6¢ | +9.92 | $8.1 | |
| 1h | trnbvc | Yes / 19.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.9 | |
| 1h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +0.08 | $0.02 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 81.6¢ | +10.00 | $8.16 | |
| 1h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | No / 81.0¢ | -5.04 | $4.08 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 81.6¢ | +5.00 | $4.08 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 20.0¢ | -25.00 | $5 |
1–25