
Volume
$5,135
Txns
249
Traders
64
Fees
$13
Liquidity
$24,363
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 98% · $48.1M volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 100% · $441K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98% · $1.19M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Yes 55% · $245K volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
No 99% · $246K volume
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $4.13M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45m | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 45m | Elastin | Yes / 12.4¢ | -20.00 | $2.49 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -60.00 | $52.2 | |
| 1h | Heparin | Yes / 12.4¢ | -60.00 | $7.46 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -70.84 | $61.6 | |
| 1h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 12.4¢ | -70.84 | $8.81 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -9.98 | $8.68 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 87.5¢ | +9.92 | $8.68 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -10.06 | $8.75 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 87.5¢ | +10.00 | $8.75 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -5.03 | $4.38 | |
| 1h | e46m3 | No / 87.5¢ | +5.00 | $4.38 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 86.0¢ | +35.71 | $30.7 | |
| 1h | tzarkoi | Yes / 14.1¢ | +35.50 | $5 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 86.0¢ | +2,142.86 | $1.84K | |
| 1h | 0x98dC5a3d304ddFc0098ECD41C715f9DB58c36Ae4-1775754213739 | Yes / 14.1¢ | +2,129.96 | $300 | |
| 1h | EfygeEfyge | No / 87.0¢ | -52.00 | $45.2 | |
| 1h | androidman | No / 87.5¢ | +51.71 | $45.2 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 13.0¢ | -20.00 | $2.6 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 13.0¢ | -28.00 | $3.64 | |
| 2h | Bitgod | No / 87.0¢ | +38.46 | $33.5 | |
| 2h | EfygeEfyge | No / 86.4¢ | -86.46 | $74.7 | |
| 3h | dannyboy16 | Yes / 12.0¢ | +13.00 | $1.56 | |
| 3h | godblessme2026 | No / 88.5¢ | +12.93 | $11.4 | |
| 3h | EfygeEfyge | No / 86.0¢ | +107.14 | $92.1 |
1–25