
Volume
$6,113
Txns
475
Traders
34
Fees
$27
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 4, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 80% · $27.9M volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 92% · $588K volume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes 74% · $345K volume
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
No 100% · $334K volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 85% · $284K volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 98% · $276K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16m | asdssss | Yes / 9.0¢ | -7.03 | $0.63 | |
| 16m | WanderingPanda | No / 90.6¢ | -7.03 | $6.37 | |
| 49m | PPMT | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 49m | Dufoos | Yes / 7.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.35 | |
| 49m | Ondra | No / 93.0¢ | -8.78 | $8.17 | |
| 49m | liq2 | No / 92.7¢ | +33.66 | $31.2 | |
| 49m | tthahaha | Yes / 8.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.8 | |
| 49m | PPMT | Yes / 8.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.8 | |
| 49m | 0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755 | No / 92.3¢ | +19.93 | $18.4 | |
| 1h | asdssss | Yes / 10.0¢ | -7.03 | $0.7 | |
| 1h | WanderingPanda | No / 89.6¢ | -7.03 | $6.3 | |
| 1h | Poligarch | No / 88.0¢ | +7.03 | $6.19 | |
| 1h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 12.1¢ | +6.99 | $0.84 | |
| 1h | asdssss | Yes / 10.0¢ | -8.06 | $0.81 | |
| 1h | Ondra | No / 89.0¢ | +11.00 | $9.79 | |
| 1h | WanderingPanda | No / 85.0¢ | +9.00 | $7.65 | |
| 1h | rocky42009 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -4.36 | $0.7 | |
| 1h | Dd8Aa6940ef0b95B2ae32981dFA0ff7caF8dedf9 | No / 86.9¢ | -32.42 | $28.2 | |
| 2h | 0xcd0f...932154 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +32.42 | $3.57 | |
| 2h | Dd8Aa6940ef0b95B2ae32981dFA0ff7caF8dedf9 | No / 89.4¢ | +32.26 | $28.9 | |
| 2h | asdssss | Yes / 10.0¢ | -6.00 | $0.6 | |
| 2h | Dd8Aa6940ef0b95B2ae32981dFA0ff7caF8dedf9 | No / 89.5¢ | -6.00 | $5.37 | |
| 2h | Ondra | No / 91.0¢ | -5.88 | $5.35 | |
| 2h | dijosaunpfoiu9 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +0.12 | $0.01 | |
| 2h | henrikkar | Yes / 8.6¢ | -6.00 | $0.52 |
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