
Volume
$271
Txns
38
Traders
20
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 4, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 82% · $28M volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 100% · $710K volume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes 74% · $367K volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 76% · $313K volume
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
No 100% · $335K volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 98% · $303K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54m | MartinPNZ | Yes / 24.0¢ | +35.00 | $8.4 | |
| 54m | WanderingPanda | Yes / 24.0¢ | +27.23 | $6.54 | |
| 54m | liq2 | No / 76.7¢ | +61.66 | $47.3 | |
| 54m | Tugaxe | Yes / 27.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.35 | |
| 54m | yidag | Yes / 26.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.2 | |
| 54m | MartinPNZ | Yes / 24.0¢ | +15.00 | $3.6 | |
| 54m | 0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755 | No / 75.3¢ | +39.62 | $29.9 | |
| 2h | Tugaxe | No / 69.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.45 | |
| 2h | Oboltusova | Yes / 32.0¢ | -26.00 | $8.32 | |
| 2h | JACA22 | Yes / 32.2¢ | +30.66 | $9.87 | |
| 3h | 0xcd0f...932154 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +33.78 | $9.12 | |
| 3h | liq2 | No / 73.7¢ | +33.45 | $24.7 | |
| 3h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 27.0¢ | +19.38 | $5.23 | |
| 3h | 0xcd0f...932154 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +0.62 | $0.17 | |
| 3h | 0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755 | No / 73.7¢ | +19.80 | $14.6 | |
| 7h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 27.0¢ | +15.07 | $4.07 | |
| 7h | AleshaGood | No / 73.7¢ | +14.92 | $11 | |
| 8h | 0x79B61175eD419E50A4ce992593fa901D6eDFE042-1768938918041 | No / 67.0¢ | +3.03 | $2.03 | |
| 8h | Tagan1 | Yes / 33.4¢ | +3.00 | $1 | |
| 9h | Tugaxe | Yes / 33.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.65 | |
| 9h | 0x79B61175eD419E50A4ce992593fa901D6eDFE042-1768938918041 | No / 67.7¢ | +4.94 | $3.35 | |
| 9h | whereismymoney | Yes / 32.0¢ | +12.00 | $3.84 | |
| 9h | balthazar | No / 68.7¢ | +11.87 | $8.16 | |
| 9h | whereismymoney | Yes / 32.0¢ | +0.68 | $0.22 | |
| 9h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 27.0¢ | +8.88 | $2.4 |
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