
Volume
$2K
Txns
91
Traders
35
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16m | 0xf240...d01ac1 | No / 98.4¢ | +2.30 | $2.26 | |
| 16m | Ondra | Yes / 1.6¢ | +2.30 | $0.04 | |
| 16m | Oboltusova | Yes / 1.7¢ | -430.00 | $7.31 | |
| 16m | Ondra | No / 98.3¢ | +23.00 | $22.6 | |
| 16m | spakila | Yes / 1.7¢ | +453.00 | $8.08 | |
| 19m | Elastin | Yes / 1.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.32 | |
| 19m | Ondra | Yes / 1.6¢ | +20.00 | $0.34 | |
| 49m | MamaMia08 | No / 98.6¢ | +30.00 | $29.6 | |
| 49m | Elastin | Yes / 1.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.28 | |
| 49m | Ondra | Yes / 1.4¢ | +50.00 | $0.73 | |
| 1h | Joblessguy | Yes / 1.3¢ | +20.00 | $0.26 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 1.2¢ | -20.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1h | smi1e | No / 98.3¢ | +140.00 | $138 | |
| 1h | BSS37 | Yes / 1.7¢ | +40.00 | $0.68 | |
| 1h | akunai | Yes / 1.7¢ | +100.00 | $1.7 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 1.7¢ | -20.00 | $0.34 | |
| 2h | Glycogen | Yes / 1.7¢ | -60.00 | $1.02 | |
| 2h | dbukgg7555 | No / 98.3¢ | +200.00 | $197 | |
| 2h | Ondra | Yes / 1.7¢ | +280.00 | $4.99 | |
| 2h | Ondra | Yes / 1.6¢ | +520.00 | $8.73 | |
| 2h | yfl8864 | No / 98.4¢ | +500.00 | $492 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 1.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.32 | |
| 2h | ChaseR | No / 98.4¢ | +94.25 | $92.7 | |
| 2h | Ondra | Yes / 1.6¢ | +154.25 | $2.59 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 1.6¢ | -60.00 | $0.96 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$555Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.37Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$387Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$407Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume