
Volume
$8K
Txns
148
Traders
68
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27m | axelverse.sol | No / 99.7¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 27m | Elastin | Yes / 0.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1h | axelverse.sol | No / 99.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1h | TakCity | No / 99.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1h | Oboltusova | Yes / 0.3¢ | -219.01 | $0.62 | |
| 1h | axelverse.sol | No / 99.7¢ | -219.01 | $218 | |
| 2h | hnm25 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +30.00 | $0.12 | |
| 2h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 0.4¢ | -30.00 | $0.11 | |
| 2h | Ondra | No / 99.4¢ | +6.00 | $5.96 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 2h | o2xta | Yes / 0.9¢ | -11.45 | $0.1 | |
| 2h | Boberino | Yes / 0.4¢ | -14.55 | $0.06 | |
| 2h | mtabcci | Yes / 0.5¢ | +206.55 | $1.05 | |
| 2h | Glycogen | Yes / 0.5¢ | -60.00 | $0.3 | |
| 2h | hnm25 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -30.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2h | MamaMia08 | No / 99.6¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 2h | Boberino | Yes / 0.5¢ | -14.55 | $0.07 | |
| 3h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 3h | Elastin | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 0.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4h | Elastin | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5h | hnm25 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +30.00 | $0.12 | |
| 5h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 0.4¢ | -80.00 | $0.3 | |
| 5h | o2xta | Yes / 0.4¢ | +50.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5h | hnm25 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -30.00 | $0.09 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81%$30.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$558Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$388Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$430Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume