
Volume
$592
Txns
82
Traders
37
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22m | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 22m | Elastin | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 23m | Elastin | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 23m | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1h | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.41 | $0.04 | |
| 1h | Glycogen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.59 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -31.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.91 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.96 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | ponedelnick | No / 99.9¢ | +5.90 | $5.89 | |
| 3h | ogurec | No / 99.9¢ | +5.91 | $5.9 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.90 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | lukoim | No / 99.9¢ | +5.96 | $5.95 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.22 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | akayn7 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 3h | AKImAKI8 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.22 | $6.21 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.02 | $0.01 | |
| 3h | AKIKAKI-6 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.02 | $6.01 | |
| 3h | dollores | No / 99.9¢ | +5.62 | $5.61 | |
| 3h | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.62 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$607Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.56Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$388Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$433Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume