
Volume
$526
Txns
47
Traders
23
Fees
$6
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25m | Mohammadreza.mre | Yes / 14.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.8 | |
| 25m | Elastin | Yes / 13.4¢ | -20.00 | $2.68 | |
| 32m | Delfinul | Yes / 15.0¢ | -194.27 | $29.1 | |
| 32m | ElonButler | Yes / 15.0¢ | -5.73 | $0.86 | |
| 32m | flytohigh | Yes / 15.0¢ | +200.00 | $31.3 | |
| 1h | amy888 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +89.13 | $11.6 | |
| 1h | T0ny123 | Yes / 12.4¢ | -89.13 | $11.1 | |
| 1h | T0ny123 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +89.13 | $13.9 | |
| 1h | pestanimal | Yes / 15.0¢ | -50.00 | $7.5 | |
| 1h | Oboltusova | Yes / 15.0¢ | -16.87 | $2.53 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 15.0¢ | -22.26 | $3.34 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 14.0¢ | -26.57 | $3.72 | |
| 2h | Oboltusova | Yes / 14.0¢ | -33.75 | $4.72 | |
| 2h | may5013 | Yes / 14.0¢ | +141.32 | $20.6 | |
| 2h | pestanimal | Yes / 14.0¢ | -50.00 | $7 | |
| 2h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 14.0¢ | -31.00 | $4.34 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 14.0¢ | -1.43 | $0.2 | |
| 2h | 0x8f48...7fc20e | Yes / 14.0¢ | +21.43 | $3.13 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 14.0¢ | -20.00 | $2.8 | |
| 3h | cl.thinklab | Yes / 18.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.12 | |
| 3h | ElonButler | Yes / 18.0¢ | -6.00 | $1.08 | |
| 3h | AlexTiger | No / 85.0¢ | +200.00 | $171 | |
| 3h | amy888 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +100.00 | $15 | |
| 3h | slowhandz | Yes / 15.0¢ | +100.00 | $15 | |
| 4h | WanderingPanda | No / 85.0¢ | +15.00 | $12.8 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81%$30.3Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.34Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$370Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 93%$383Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume