
Volume
$383
Txns
43
Traders
22
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7m | Oboltusova | Yes / 21.0¢ | -10.71 | $2.25 | |
| 7m | the-rambo-trader | Yes / 21.0¢ | +10.71 | $2.34 | |
| 11m | ElonButler | Yes / 21.0¢ | -28.00 | $5.88 | |
| 11m | 0x10ea...0902ed | Yes / 21.0¢ | +47.62 | $10.4 | |
| 11m | Oboltusova | Yes / 21.0¢ | -19.62 | $4.12 | |
| 37m | Elastin | Yes / 21.0¢ | -19.05 | $4 | |
| 37m | 0x8f48...7fc20e | Yes / 21.0¢ | +19.05 | $4.16 | |
| 47m | Delfinul | Yes / 24.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.2 | |
| 47m | cl.thinklab | Yes / 24.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 1h | ElPresidente84 | Yes / 23.0¢ | +86.96 | $20.8 | |
| 1h | pestanimal | Yes / 23.0¢ | -58.96 | $13.6 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 23.0¢ | -28.00 | $6.44 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 24.0¢ | -4.17 | $1 | |
| 1h | 0xa809D0Ef6804911e0F80fa86Ec4D39f74e082C2D-1769369034848 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +4.17 | $1.04 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 24.0¢ | -8.33 | $2 | |
| 1h | 0xa809D0Ef6804911e0F80fa86Ec4D39f74e082C2D-1769369034848 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +8.33 | $2.08 | |
| 2h | slowhandz | Yes / 20.0¢ | +13.00 | $2.6 | |
| 2h | slowhandz | Yes / 20.0¢ | +27.11 | $5.42 | |
| 2h | melchior1248 | No / 79.6¢ | +43.72 | $35.2 | |
| 2h | o2xta | No / 79.0¢ | -16.61 | $13.1 | |
| 2h | scandl | No / 80.0¢ | +13.00 | $10.5 | |
| 2h | MiamMiam | No / 74.0¢ | +43.92 | $32.5 | |
| 2h | popcode28 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +76.92 | $20.7 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 26.0¢ | -28.00 | $7.28 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | Yes / 26.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.3 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83% · $30.3M volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 97% · $2.27M volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 76% · $333K volume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100% · $3.17M volume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100% · $359K volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 94% · $636K volume