
Volume
$2K
Txns
92
Traders
36
Fees
$22
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3m | Glycogen | Yes / 22.0¢ | -60.00 | $13.2 | |
| 3m | EugeneKunakov | Yes / 22.0¢ | +150.00 | $34.3 | |
| 3m | Elastin | Yes / 22.0¢ | -10.90 | $2.4 | |
| 3m | ElonButler | Yes / 22.0¢ | -28.00 | $6.16 | |
| 3m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | No / 78.0¢ | +51.10 | $39.9 | |
| 19m | 0x1C80c8A980F3D914F9Ffc2c0903b1C4E6FF87Fe1-1777338144245 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +4.55 | $1.04 | |
| 19m | Elastin | Yes / 22.0¢ | -4.55 | $1 | |
| 19m | Elastin | Yes / 22.0¢ | -4.55 | $1 | |
| 19m | 0x1C80c8A980F3D914F9Ffc2c0903b1C4E6FF87Fe1-1777338144245 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +4.55 | $1.04 | |
| 29m | o2xta | Yes / 23.0¢ | -42.85 | $9.86 | |
| 29m | wakuwaku3 | No / 76.0¢ | +120.00 | $91.2 | |
| 29m | Oboltusova | Yes / 24.0¢ | -170.00 | $40.8 | |
| 29m | ElonButler | Yes / 23.0¢ | -28.00 | $6.44 | |
| 29m | flytohigh | Yes / 23.7¢ | +421.71 | $104 | |
| 29m | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 77.0¢ | +24.00 | $18.5 | |
| 29m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | No / 77.0¢ | +26.09 | $20.1 | |
| 29m | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 76.0¢ | +10.77 | $8.18 | |
| 31m | iamsimsonj | Yes / 20.6¢ | -142.85 | $29.4 | |
| 31m | o2xta | Yes / 20.0¢ | +42.85 | $8.57 | |
| 31m | Mohammadreza.mre | Yes / 22.0¢ | +100.00 | $22 | |
| 32m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | No / 77.0¢ | +29.90 | $23 | |
| 32m | pestanimal | Yes / 23.0¢ | -25.00 | $5.75 | |
| 32m | Elastin | Yes / 23.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.6 | |
| 32m | Oboltusova | Yes / 23.0¢ | -67.50 | $15.5 | |
| 32m | wakuwaku3 | No / 77.0¢ | +200.00 | $154 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81%$30.3Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.34Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$370Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 93%$383Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume