
Volume
$950
Txns
92
Traders
34
Fees
$16
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | diopo | Yes / 16.0¢ | -4.32 | $0.69 | |
| 2m | ElonButler | Yes / 16.0¢ | -14.43 | $2.31 | |
| 2m | radira | Yes / 16.0¢ | +18.75 | $3.13 | |
| 2m | diopo | Yes / 16.0¢ | -5.68 | $0.91 | |
| 2m | Oboltusova | Yes / 16.0¢ | -119.32 | $19.1 | |
| 2m | PikuRTVv | Yes / 16.0¢ | +125.00 | $20.8 | |
| 20m | Ondra | Yes / 15.0¢ | +108.00 | $16.9 | |
| 20m | Glycogen | Yes / 15.0¢ | -60.00 | $9 | |
| 20m | Elastin | Yes / 15.0¢ | -20.00 | $3 | |
| 20m | ElonButler | Yes / 15.0¢ | -28.00 | $4.2 | |
| 29m | Delfinul | Yes / 16.0¢ | -271.82 | $43.5 | |
| 29m | Oboltusova | Yes / 16.0¢ | -40.68 | $6.51 | |
| 29m | flytohigh | Yes / 16.0¢ | +312.50 | $52.1 | |
| 32m | flytohigh | Yes / 16.0¢ | +312.50 | $52.1 | |
| 32m | Delfinul | Yes / 16.0¢ | -312.50 | $50 | |
| 1h | 0x8c45...8a398b | Yes / 15.6¢ | +170.24 | $27.7 | |
| 1h | Oboltusova | Yes / 16.0¢ | -46.50 | $7.44 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 15.0¢ | -28.00 | $4.2 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 15.0¢ | -20.00 | $3 | |
| 1h | pestanimal | Yes / 15.0¢ | -18.86 | $2.83 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 16.0¢ | -56.88 | $9.1 | |
| 1h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 84.4¢ | -12.00 | $10.1 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 15.0¢ | -6.86 | $1.03 | |
| 1h | pestanimal | Yes / 15.0¢ | -5.14 | $0.77 | |
| 1h | T0ny123 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +71.13 | $11.1 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81%$30.3Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.34Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$370Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 93%$383Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume