
Volume
$803
Txns
91
Traders
31
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | ElonButler | Yes / 5.1¢ | -40.00 | $2.04 | |
| 13m | Ondra | Yes / 5.1¢ | +209.35 | $11.2 | |
| 13m | Oboltusova | Yes / 5.1¢ | -169.35 | $8.64 | |
| 37m | Oboltusova | Yes / 5.1¢ | -196.08 | $10 | |
| 37m | ceiba | Yes / 5.1¢ | +196.08 | $10.5 | |
| 40m | tzarkoi | Yes / 5.0¢ | +156.31 | $8.13 | |
| 40m | Oboltusova | Yes / 5.1¢ | -64.57 | $3.29 | |
| 40m | o2xta | Yes / 5.0¢ | -31.74 | $1.59 | |
| 40m | ElonButler | Yes / 4.8¢ | -40.00 | $1.92 | |
| 40m | Elastin | Yes / 4.8¢ | -20.00 | $0.96 | |
| 54m | Elastin | Yes / 5.0¢ | -20.00 | $1 | |
| 54m | PPMT | No / 94.8¢ | -30.00 | $28.4 | |
| 54m | ElonButler | Yes / 5.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1h | sacapara | Yes / 5.6¢ | +89.29 | $5.24 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 5.6¢ | -89.29 | $5 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 5.6¢ | -840.00 | $47 | |
| 1h | Ishtark | Yes / 5.6¢ | +900.00 | $52.7 | |
| 1h | ElonButler | Yes / 5.4¢ | -40.00 | $2.16 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 5.4¢ | -20.00 | $1.08 | |
| 1h | Ondra | Yes / 5.6¢ | +234.00 | $13.7 | |
| 1h | Delfinul | Yes / 5.6¢ | -234.00 | $13.1 | |
| 1h | 1Wolf-bb | No / 94.5¢ | +7.41 | $7.02 | |
| 1h | o2xta | Yes / 5.5¢ | +7.41 | $0.41 | |
| 1h | Blue1212 | No / 94.5¢ | +24.34 | $23.1 | |
| 1h | o2xta | Yes / 5.5¢ | +24.34 | $1.34 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$555Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.37Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
No 100%$387Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$407Kvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.17Mvolume