
Volume
$406
Txns
34
Traders
22
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 13, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58m | jfft | No / 84.0¢ | +1.19 | $1.01 | |
| 58m | PennyGrabber | Yes / 16.0¢ | +1.19 | $0.19 | |
| 1h | PennyGrabber | Yes / 16.0¢ | +17.44 | $2.79 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 15.3¢ | -20.00 | $3.07 | |
| 1h | Lavincey | Yes / 16.0¢ | +2.56 | $0.41 | |
| 2h | AuraMonster | No / 84.0¢ | -30.00 | $25.2 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | Yes / 16.0¢ | +17.44 | $2.79 | |
| 2h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 16.0¢ | +22.56 | $3.61 | |
| 2h | 0x7DD19F4602BF91911D35C85674c1297C5E50a7F6-1777173925653 | No / 84.0¢ | +70.00 | $59.3 | |
| 2h | 0x38aa...0153a6 | No / 84.0¢ | +2.45 | $2.07 | |
| 2h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 16.0¢ | +2.45 | $0.39 | |
| 3h | Ondra | Yes / 19.0¢ | +37.00 | $7.31 | |
| 3h | AuraMonster | No / 81.0¢ | +37.00 | $30 | |
| 4h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 16.0¢ | +7.00 | $1.12 | |
| 4h | google003 | No / 84.0¢ | +7.00 | $5.93 | |
| 5h | AuraMonster | No / 81.0¢ | +30.00 | $24.3 | |
| 5h | udt123 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +30.00 | $5.93 | |
| 5h | 10.18.apple0004 | No / 83.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.02 | |
| 5h | PennyGrabber | Yes / 17.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.02 | |
| 5h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 16.0¢ | +11.99 | $1.92 | |
| 5h | 0xf605534643782A4d4810456C360eB4B81Bb3B676-1776861425811 | No / 84.0¢ | +11.99 | $10.2 | |
| 5h | orange0001 | No / 84.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.08 | |
| 5h | MartinPNZ | Yes / 16.0¢ | +6.00 | $0.96 | |
| 5h | lignt | No / 85.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.14 | |
| 5h | globwin | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.00 | $0.9 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.59Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$482Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.19Mvolume
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
No 99%$2.78Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 94%$705Kvolume