
Volume
$486K
Txns
8,911
Traders
778
Fees
$1,602
Ends
May 13, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$7.71Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Yes 100%$998Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 100%$714Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 100%$664Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$2.1Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$40.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x2be3...5244a5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x2be3...5244a5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x2be3...5244a5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.69 | $7.68 | |
| 1mo | gamblingjunkiex | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.69 | $7.68 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.13 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | mmmpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.13 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x2be3...5244a5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | 0x2be3...5244a5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +73.47 | $73.4 | |
| 1mo | corvinum | Yes / 99.9¢ | -73.47 | $73.4 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +82.29 | $82.2 | |
| 1mo | Plsss | Yes / 99.9¢ | -82.29 | $82.2 | |
| 1mo | Synex | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1mo | Rhaenyra | Yes / 99.9¢ | -314.70 | $314 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +314.70 | $314 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.04 | $6.03 | |
| 1mo | 0x55E887ff1C2bB6D886AE2894804f1e647A80c488-1764507257512 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.04 | $6.03 | |
| 1mo | win-win-win99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.89 | $7.88 |
1–25