
Volume
$439
Txns
40
Traders
24
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 13, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 11 12:00 PM ET to May 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9m | BrunoFernandez8 | No / 74.0¢ | +18.15 | $13.4 | |
| 9m | PennyGrabber | No / 74.0¢ | +0.89 | $0.66 | |
| 9m | 0x7818...7ced7b | Yes / 26.0¢ | +19.04 | $5.13 | |
| 19m | BrunoFernandez8 | No / 74.0¢ | +19.23 | $14.2 | |
| 19m | 0xF14f5221e271505e7B766860DF0BFF41CBe5873E-1777696154690 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +19.23 | $5.18 | |
| 27m | sange111 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +41.00 | $10.6 | |
| 27m | Elastin | Yes / 25.0¢ | -20.00 | $5 | |
| 27m | ElonButler | Yes / 25.0¢ | -21.00 | $5.25 | |
| 1h | BrunoFernandez8 | No / 74.0¢ | +62.61 | $46.3 | |
| 1h | slowhandz | Yes / 26.0¢ | +100.00 | $27 | |
| 1h | Konium | No / 74.0¢ | +37.39 | $27.7 | |
| 2h | PennyGrabber | No / 75.0¢ | +25.89 | $19.4 | |
| 2h | BrunoFernandez8 | No / 75.0¢ | +100.00 | $75 | |
| 2h | 0x4b3e70D92370bB30B9b54646ca948A9daD6c74d0-1775537767035 | Yes / 25.1¢ | +159.50 | $41.5 | |
| 2h | Konium | No / 74.0¢ | +12.61 | $9.33 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 25.0¢ | -21.00 | $5.25 | |
| 2h | PennyGrabber | Yes / 24.0¢ | -15.00 | $3.6 | |
| 2h | 0x4b3e70D92370bB30B9b54646ca948A9daD6c74d0-1775537767035 | Yes / 24.0¢ | +116.00 | $28.9 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 24.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.8 | |
| 2h | ElonButler | Yes / 24.0¢ | -21.00 | $5.04 | |
| 2h | Glycogen | Yes / 24.0¢ | -60.00 | $14.4 | |
| 4h | 0xF14f5221e271505e7B766860DF0BFF41CBe5873E-1777696154690 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +34.48 | $10.4 | |
| 4h | Lavincey | No / 71.0¢ | +20.00 | $14.2 | |
| 4h | Ondra | No / 71.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.55 | |
| 4h | ElonButler | Yes / 29.0¢ | -9.48 | $2.75 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 98%$2.59Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
No 100%$482Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 83%$30.4Mvolume
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
No 100%$3.19Mvolume
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
No 99%$2.78Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 94%$705Kvolume