
Volume
$3,689
Txns
463
Traders
67
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$23,039
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 1 12:00 PM ET to May 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 80% · $27.9M volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 92% · $589K volume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes 74% · $345K volume
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
No 100% · $334K volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 86% · $285K volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 98% · $276K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49m | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +7.59 | $0.08 | |
| 49m | coffeeface | Yes / 1.0¢ | +12.41 | $0.12 | |
| 49m | Elastin | Yes / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 50m | Glycogen | Yes / 1.2¢ | -18.58 | $0.22 | |
| 50m | BSS37 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -100.00 | $1.2 | |
| 50m | o2xta | Yes / 1.2¢ | -30.00 | $0.36 | |
| 50m | Biver52 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -87.07 | $1.04 | |
| 50m | paxu | Yes / 1.2¢ | +235.51 | $2.83 | |
| 1h | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +120.01 | $1.32 | |
| 1h | Glycogen | Yes / 1.0¢ | -120.01 | $1.25 | |
| 2h | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.07 | |
| 2h | 0xa60653a7d7D610c69cffD6f768262caA0C0c8273-1777383733913 | No / 99.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.93 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 1.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.22 | |
| 2h | OnlySmartTrades | Yes / 1.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.22 | |
| 2h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 98.9¢ | +26.40 | $26.1 | |
| 2h | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +66.36 | $0.73 | |
| 3h | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +90.39 | $0.99 | |
| 3h | coffeeface | Yes / 1.0¢ | +9.61 | $0.1 | |
| 3h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1.04 | |
| 3h | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.22 | |
| 3h | Elastin | Yes / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.21 | |
| 6h | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.66 | |
| 6h | Glycogen | Yes / 1.0¢ | -60.00 | $0.63 | |
| 6h | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.22 | |
| 6h | Elastin | Yes / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.21 |
1–25