
Volume
$7,906
Txns
468
Traders
64
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$31,073
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 1 12:00 PM ET to May 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 80% · $27.9M volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 91% · $593K volume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Yes 74% · $345K volume
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
No 100% · $334K volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 84% · $285K volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
No 99% · $280K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.28 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 1.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.27 | |
| 1h | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1h | kroko | Yes / 1.5¢ | +74.42 | $1.12 | |
| 1h | Playpool | No / 98.6¢ | +94.35 | $93 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 1.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.32 | |
| 2h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 98.4¢ | +26.40 | $26 | |
| 2h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 1.6¢ | -16.10 | $0.26 | |
| 2h | MinhazWEB3 | Yes / 1.6¢ | +62.45 | $1 | |
| 3h | Oboltusova | Yes / 1.7¢ | -24.24 | $0.41 | |
| 3h | 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | No / 98.3¢ | +20.00 | $19.7 | |
| 3h | Oboltusova | Yes / 1.8¢ | -13.77 | $0.25 | |
| 3h | 0xint24 | Yes / 1.7¢ | +57.96 | $1 | |
| 6h | Oboltusova | Yes / 1.6¢ | -126.00 | $2.02 | |
| 6h | Glycogen | Yes / 1.6¢ | -120.00 | $1.92 | |
| 6h | hellokittyhellokitty | No / 98.4¢ | +20.10 | $19.8 | |
| 6h | Bitgod | Yes / 1.6¢ | +265.89 | $4.26 | |
| 6h | Elastin | Yes / 1.5¢ | -20.00 | $0.3 | |
| 6h | winnerPro8 | Yes / 1.5¢ | -100.00 | $1.5 | |
| 6h | bodwar | Yes / 1.5¢ | -60.00 | $0.9 | |
| 6h | 9182736455463728190 | Yes / 1.5¢ | +179.87 | $2.7 | |
| 6h | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.28 | |
| 6h | Elastin | Yes / 1.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.27 | |
| 6h | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +15.16 | $0.21 | |
| 6h | pd.unique | No / 98.7¢ | +15.15 | $14.9 |
1–25