
Volume
$3K
Txns
187
Traders
55
Fees
$27
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 3, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$7.14Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Yes 68%$430Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 100%$386Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 67%$395Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96%$2.01Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 100%$226Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56m | vamnizar | No / 72.0¢ | +20.56 | $15 | |
| 56m | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +20.56 | $5.76 | |
| 1h | Elastin | Yes / 29.0¢ | -6.55 | $1.9 | |
| 1h | 0x3A2c4c40b5b974384830F13336302459a2A8B7f7-1780468357104 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +36.55 | $11 | |
| 1h | Glycogen | Yes / 29.0¢ | -30.00 | $8.7 | |
| 2h | Elastin | Yes / 29.0¢ | -3.45 | $1 | |
| 2h | 0x80e5042E04254A7e3eF15Ae75c3fC148B30B1188-1781765375853 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +3.45 | $1.04 | |
| 2h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +18.45 | $5.17 | |
| 2h | alwayslatetotheparty | Yes / 27.0¢ | -18.45 | $4.98 | |
| 2h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +30.00 | $8.4 | |
| 2h | alwayslatetotheparty | Yes / 27.0¢ | -30.00 | $8.1 | |
| 3h | 387411007415611814092217897387 | No / 71.0¢ | +62.57 | $44.4 | |
| 3h | 0x3A2c4c40b5b974384830F13336302459a2A8B7f7-1780468357104 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +80.87 | $24.3 | |
| 3h | winnerSpecter | Yes / 29.0¢ | -8.30 | $2.41 | |
| 3h | Elastin | Yes / 29.0¢ | -10.00 | $2.9 | |
| 3h | winnerSpecter | Yes / 29.0¢ | -51.72 | $15 | |
| 3h | PolyProBet | Yes / 29.0¢ | +51.72 | $15.5 | |
| 3h | Elastin | Yes / 27.0¢ | -10.00 | $2.7 | |
| 3h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.8 | |
| 3h | alwayslatetotheparty | Yes / 27.0¢ | -25.00 | $6.75 | |
| 3h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +25.00 | $7 | |
| 3h | tvqcgfncqgvh | No / 72.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.3 | |
| 3h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.8 | |
| 3h | alwayslatetotheparty | Yes / 27.0¢ | -49.99 | $13.5 | |
| 3h | OliverAtom | Yes / 28.0¢ | +49.99 | $14 |
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