
Volume
$941
Txns
160
Traders
36
Fees
$7
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 3, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 26 12:00 PM ET to July 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$7.19Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$2.06Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Yes 55%$112Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
No 79%$112Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
No 90%$124Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
No 97%$94.6Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10m | BenjiPredicts | Yes / 4.7¢ | +106.38 | $5.24 | |
| 10m | Elastin | Yes / 4.7¢ | -20.00 | $0.94 | |
| 10m | Kaiji- | No / 95.3¢ | +86.38 | $82.3 | |
| 47m | 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +70.24 | $4.21 | |
| 47m | TaM33 | Yes / 6.1¢ | +30.00 | $1.83 | |
| 47m | tvqcgfncqgvh | Yes / 5.7¢ | -100.24 | $5.76 | |
| 47m | zzyber | Yes / 6.0¢ | +113.75 | $6.83 | |
| 47m | tvqcgfncqgvh | Yes / 5.7¢ | -113.75 | $6.5 | |
| 1h | Bitgod | No / 94.0¢ | +180.00 | $170 | |
| 1h | spakila | Yes / 6.0¢ | +180.00 | $10.8 | |
| 1h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +20.20 | $1.27 | |
| 1h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 6.0¢ | -20.20 | $1.21 | |
| 2h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +21.00 | $1.32 | |
| 2h | Ondra | Yes / 6.0¢ | -21.00 | $1.26 | |
| 2h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +5.00 | $0.32 | |
| 2h | WanderingPanda | No / 93.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.7 | |
| 3h | hnm25 | Yes / 6.4¢ | +4.25 | $0.27 | |
| 3h | Certifiedcracked | Yes / 6.1¢ | -4.25 | $0.26 | |
| 3h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +45.00 | $2.83 | |
| 3h | Ondra | Yes / 6.0¢ | -45.00 | $2.7 | |
| 3h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +73.00 | $4.6 | |
| 3h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 6.0¢ | -73.00 | $4.38 | |
| 3h | spakila | Yes / 6.3¢ | +35.80 | $2.26 | |
| 3h | spakila | Yes / 6.5¢ | +76.00 | $4.94 | |
| 3h | sazzaa | Yes / 6.1¢ | -111.80 | $6.86 |
1–25