
Volume
$1K
Txns
149
Traders
36
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 23 12:00 PM ET to June 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.88Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Yes 53%$189Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 84%$195Kvolume
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Yes 74%$132Kvolume
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
No 77%$109Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | 0x984F667BeC77FeaD7181e9c902A5591aa358ba69-1781038144198 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +71.43 | $5.23 | |
| 7h | winnerSpecter | Yes / 7.0¢ | -71.43 | $5 | |
| 7h | weather69 | No / 92.7¢ | -100.00 | $92.7 | |
| 7h | Glycogen | Yes / 7.0¢ | -30.00 | $2.1 | |
| 7h | winnerSpecter | Yes / 7.0¢ | -50.00 | $3.5 | |
| 7h | Elastin | Yes / 7.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 8h | justwant5 | Yes / 5.7¢ | -25.00 | $1.43 | |
| 8h | CrypRom | Yes / 6.0¢ | +25.00 | $1.5 | |
| 9h | weather69 | No / 93.0¢ | +46.00 | $42.8 | |
| 9h | hnm25 | Yes / 7.0¢ | -24.00 | $1.68 | |
| 9h | 0xBA1664B23319B966eBD576CEa985C3F632f1C738-1766076781466 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +70.00 | $5.13 | |
| 12h | randomfrog2 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +9.01 | $0.54 | |
| 12h | CrypRom | Yes / 6.0¢ | +20.99 | $1.26 | |
| 12h | Glycogen | Yes / 5.7¢ | -30.00 | $1.72 | |
| 12h | weather69 | No / 93.0¢ | +54.00 | $50.2 | |
| 12h | WanderingPanda | Yes / 7.0¢ | +64.00 | $4.69 | |
| 12h | zxcursed121 | No / 93.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.3 | |
| 12h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.7 | |
| 12h | randomfrog2 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +94.99 | $5.7 | |
| 12h | winnerSpecter | Yes / 6.1¢ | -150.00 | $9.1 | |
| 12h | tvqcgfncqgvh | Yes / 7.0¢ | +15.01 | $1.05 | |
| 12h | hnm25 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +30.00 | $2.1 | |
| 12h | Elastin | Yes / 6.7¢ | -20.00 | $1.33 | |
| 12h | tvqcgfncqgvh | Yes / 7.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 12h | DkOYL | No / 93.0¢ | +3.27 | $3.05 |
1–25