
Volume
$14K
Txns
908
Traders
143
Fees
$163
Liquidity
$15,276
Ends
Jun 22, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 20 12:00 PM ET to June 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 100%$6.54Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.88Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 88%$179Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$40Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 91%$166Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 58%$148Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9m | WanderingPanda | Yes / 33.9¢ | -46.00 | $15.6 | |
| 9m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 35.0¢ | +28.73 | $10.1 | |
| 9m | cicci327 | Yes / 35.0¢ | +17.27 | $6.04 | |
| 13m | exponentially | No / 65.0¢ | -37.01 | $24.1 | |
| 13m | Shannonnana | No / 65.0¢ | +177.49 | $117 | |
| 13m | exponentially | Yes / 35.0¢ | +65.47 | $22.9 | |
| 13m | stapler0619 | Yes / 35.0¢ | +5.01 | $1.75 | |
| 13m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 35.0¢ | +35.00 | $12.3 | |
| 13m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 35.0¢ | +35.00 | $12.3 | |
| 19m | J25525 | Yes / 34.0¢ | -50.00 | $17 | |
| 19m | Glycogen | Yes / 34.0¢ | -30.00 | $10.2 | |
| 19m | Oklmntrader | Yes / 34.0¢ | -73.41 | $25 | |
| 19m | InsideR5 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +171.26 | $60.1 | |
| 19m | HerrieDavis | Yes / 34.0¢ | -17.85 | $6.07 | |
| 29m | 0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.76 | |
| 29m | Oklmntrader | Yes / 34.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.7 | |
| 59m | Oklmntrader | Yes / 34.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.7 | |
| 59m | 0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.76 | |
| 1h | 0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.76 | |
| 1h | Oklmntrader | Yes / 34.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.7 | |
| 1h | Oklmntrader | Yes / 34.0¢ | -29.99 | $10.2 | |
| 1h | smalltimezzz | Yes / 34.0¢ | -35.00 | $11.9 | |
| 1h | udt123 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +99.99 | $35.1 | |
| 1h | smalltimezzz | Yes / 34.0¢ | -35.00 | $11.9 | |
| 1h | smalltimezzz | Yes / 35.0¢ | +22.69 | $7.94 |
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