
Volume
$29K
Txns
1,208
Traders
200
Fees
$325
Liquidity
$15,471
Ends
Jun 22, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 20 12:00 PM ET to June 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 100%$6.54Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.88Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 88%$179Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$40Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 91%$166Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 58%$148Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 52.0¢ | +10.33 | $5.37 | |
| 6m | 0x7ff9...5d1e60 | No / 48.0¢ | +10.33 | $5.09 | |
| 9m | 0xC44A5eA766826920Ad0678D53534F68894D60F0E-1779063587890 | No / 46.0¢ | +7.00 | $3.22 | |
| 9m | WanderingPanda | No / 44.8¢ | -42.00 | $18.8 | |
| 9m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 54.0¢ | -35.00 | $18.9 | |
| 15m | 0xbFfcF3C634B368F277adC26dF75E4560d72156AD-1777985220216 | No / 46.0¢ | +128.49 | $60.7 | |
| 15m | exponentially | No / 46.0¢ | -49.85 | $22.9 | |
| 15m | Lavincey | Yes / 54.0¢ | +11.00 | $5.94 | |
| 15m | exponentially | Yes / 54.0¢ | +42.43 | $22.9 | |
| 15m | Baela | Yes / 54.0¢ | +5.20 | $2.81 | |
| 15m | Baela | Yes / 54.0¢ | +20.01 | $10.8 | |
| 16m | Yupioto | Yes / 55.0¢ | +27.27 | $15.3 | |
| 16m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 55.0¢ | -27.27 | $15 | |
| 17m | 0x508d...70791a | Yes / 52.8¢ | -89.00 | $47 | |
| 17m | Lavincey | Yes / 54.0¢ | +89.00 | $48.1 | |
| 17m | exponentially | Yes / 55.0¢ | +40.38 | $22.2 | |
| 17m | exponentially | No / 45.0¢ | -5.68 | $2.56 | |
| 17m | Oboltusova | Yes / 55.0¢ | +100.00 | $55 | |
| 17m | 0x508d...70791a | Yes / 55.0¢ | +89.00 | $49 | |
| 17m | 0xbFfcF3C634B368F277adC26dF75E4560d72156AD-1777985220216 | No / 45.0¢ | +235.06 | $109 | |
| 19m | gordontradedc | No / 42.8¢ | -525.00 | $225 | |
| 19m | 0xbFfcF3C634B368F277adC26dF75E4560d72156AD-1777985220216 | No / 44.0¢ | +525.00 | $231 | |
| 19m | exponentially | No / 45.0¢ | -30.84 | $13.9 | |
| 19m | hoomanlover | No / 45.0¢ | +30.84 | $14.3 | |
| 19m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 56.0¢ | +34.84 | $19.5 |
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