
Volume
$47K
Txns
2,315
Traders
232
Fees
$227
Liquidity
$17,702
Ends
Jun 22, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 20 12:00 PM ET to June 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | adspokposs | Yes / 2.8¢ | -11.38 | $0.32 | |
| 2m | ElonSimp | Yes / 2.8¢ | +36.00 | $1.06 | |
| 2m | WhoseHouseRamsHouse | No / 97.2¢ | +20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 2m | 0xFFAedEa5699dC2BCbCA0ac466e4bB4cf111d5C98-1781442354502 | Yes / 2.8¢ | -4.62 | $0.13 | |
| 2m | bipbipbop | Yes / 2.7¢ | +30.00 | $0.81 | |
| 2m | VictorLudorum | No / 97.3¢ | +30.00 | $29.2 | |
| 3m | bipbipbop | Yes / 2.7¢ | +2.22 | $0.06 | |
| 3m | eric.scut | Yes / 2.9¢ | +12.48 | $0.36 | |
| 3m | eric.scut | Yes / 2.9¢ | +21.49 | $0.62 | |
| 3m | Bigggggggg | No / 97.1¢ | +23.71 | $23.1 | |
| 3m | e46m3 | No / 97.1¢ | +12.48 | $12.1 | |
| 3m | plainfolder | No / 97.1¢ | +30.00 | $29.2 | |
| 3m | 0xFFAedEa5699dC2BCbCA0ac466e4bB4cf111d5C98-1781442354502 | Yes / 3.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.15 | |
| 3m | eric.scut | Yes / 2.9¢ | +25.00 | $0.72 | |
| 15m | adspokposs | Yes / 3.1¢ | -11.38 | $0.35 | |
| 15m | Baela | No / 96.9¢ | +20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 15m | bipbipbop | Yes / 3.1¢ | -0.88 | $0.03 | |
| 15m | 0x7107D34EAEE531600767293036826a4C8B615F95-1780916592062 | Yes / 3.1¢ | +32.26 | $1.05 | |
| 24m | adspokposs | Yes / 3.0¢ | -22.75 | $0.68 | |
| 24m | gordontradedc | Yes / 3.0¢ | +42.00 | $1.32 | |
| 24m | Baela | No / 97.0¢ | +19.25 | $18.7 | |
| 27m | eric.scut | Yes / 2.9¢ | +10.00 | $0.3 | |
| 27m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 2.9¢ | -5.00 | $0.14 | |
| 27m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 2.9¢ | -5.00 | $0.14 | |
| 33m | smalltimezzz | Yes / 2.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.14 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.88Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Yes 52%$184Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
No 85%$190Kvolume
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Yes 77%$130Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$40Mvolume