
Volume
$140
Txns
16
Traders
7
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 15 12:00 PM ET to June 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42m | ppaaa | Yes / 14.0¢ | +14.29 | $2.09 | |
| 42m | sakuraaaa | No / 86.0¢ | +14.29 | $12.3 | |
| 2h | AmiteshGupta | Yes / 15.0¢ | -13.33 | $2 | |
| 2h | ppaaa | Yes / 15.0¢ | +13.33 | $2.08 | |
| 5h | Balfang | No / 88.0¢ | +5.10 | $4.51 | |
| 5h | AmiteshGupta | Yes / 12.0¢ | +5.10 | $0.61 | |
| 6h | Balfang | No / 70.0¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 6h | 0x5c4f...e53338 | Yes / 11.5¢ | -94.91 | $10.9 | |
| 6h | AmiteshGupta | Yes / 12.0¢ | +94.90 | $11.4 | |
| 6h | Balfang | No / 70.0¢ | -5.09 | $3.56 | |
| 6h | 0x5c4f...e53338 | Yes / 29.0¢ | -5.09 | $1.47 | |
| 6h | AmiteshGupta | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.10 | $0.56 | |
| 6h | Balfang | No / 89.0¢ | +5.10 | $4.56 | |
| 6h | AlyincePeng | No / 89.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.47 | |
| 6h | AmiteshGupta | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 |
1–15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$39.4Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$5.15Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
No 100%$137Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$175Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 100%$107Kvolume
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
No 96%$104Kvolume