
Volume
$251
Txns
15
Traders
10
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 6 12:00 PM ET to July 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 76%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 69%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 86%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10m | ElonSleep | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 10m | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1h | T11Faker | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.19 | |
| 1h | TangS4189 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 8h | TangS4189 | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 8h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 8h | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.4¢ | +2.04 | $0.01 | |
| 8h | aHjCz | Yes / 0.4¢ | -2.04 | $0.01 | |
| 8h | aHjCz | Yes / 1.0¢ | -2.96 | $0.03 | |
| 8h | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +2.96 | $0.03 | |
| 8h | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +2.04 | $0.02 | |
| 8h | 0x5c4f...e53338 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -2.04 | $0.02 | |
| 9h | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.2¢ | +67.96 | $0.14 | |
| 9h | 0x5c4f...e53338 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -97.96 | $0.41 | |
| 9h | TaM33 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +30.00 | $0.3 |
1–15