
Volume
$460
Txns
141
Traders
29
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$10,149
Ends
Aug 1, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 95%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 62%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Yes 75%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 66%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 94%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
No 86%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4m | Baela | No / 99.7¢ | -4.41 | $4.4 | |
| 4m | Baela | No / 99.7¢ | -24.59 | $24.5 | |
| 4m | pestanimal | Yes / 0.3¢ | -29.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1h | pestanimal | Yes / 0.3¢ | -50.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1h | TaM33 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +21.19 | $0.06 | |
| 1h | Baela | No / 99.7¢ | -28.81 | $28.7 | |
| 1d | sange111 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -100.00 | $0.29 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4d | 0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4d | hetacz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 25d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.58 | $0.02 | |
| 25d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +11.58 | $11.6 | |
| 25d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +11.58 | $11.6 | |
| 25d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.58 | $0.02 | |
| 26d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +11.74 | $11.7 | |
| 26d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.74 | $0.02 | |
| 26d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +11.74 | $11.7 | |
| 26d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.74 | $0.02 | |
| 26d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.91 | $0.02 | |
| 26d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +8.91 | $8.89 | |
| 27d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.96 | $0.02 | |
| 27d | Baela | No / 99.8¢ | +8.96 | $8.94 | |
| 27d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +898.18 | $1.8 | |
| 27d | ChaseR | Yes / 0.2¢ | -898.18 | $1.71 | |
| 27d | ChaseR | Yes / 0.2¢ | -900.00 | $1.71 |
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