
Volume
$36K
Txns
951
Traders
211
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between April 1, and April 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 01-01-40 | No / 99.9¢ | -362.71 | $362 | |
| 1y | deina | No / 99.9¢ | +362.71 | $362 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +264.22 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | No / 99.9¢ | +284.22 | $284 | |
| 1y | CptGroovy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -136.81 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +136.81 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | SamTripoli | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 1y | Fellali | Yes / 0.1¢ | -261.99 | $0.28 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +241.99 | $0.24 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.94 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | scrimblo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.94 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -344.58 | $341 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | No / 99.1¢ | -100.00 | $99.1 | |
| 1y | Flipadelphia | No / 99.0¢ | +444.58 | $440 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | Mattia.Ilenotti | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | Herrard | No / 99.0¢ | +5.05 | $5 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.05 | $5 | |
| 1y | Gregogio | No / 99.0¢ | +3.03 | $3 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -3.03 | $3 | |
| 1y | Vodila | No / 99.0¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.01 | $1 |
1–25
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$90.9Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 67%$203Kvolume
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 65%$328Kvolume
Megaquake by June 30?
No 84%$69Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$48.2Kvolume
Megaquake by March 31?
No 100%$139Kvolume