
Volume
$49K
Txns
1,075
Traders
211
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between April 1, and April 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 01-01-40 | No / 99.9¢ | -362.71 | $362 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +362.71 | $362 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +264.22 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | No / 99.9¢ | +284.22 | $284 | |
| 1y | CptGroovy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -136.81 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +136.81 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | SamTripoli | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 1y | Fellali | Yes / 0.1¢ | -261.99 | $0.28 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +241.99 | $0.24 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.94 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | scrimblo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.94 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -344.58 | $341 | |
| 1y | 3dfxVoodoo | No / 99.1¢ | -100.00 | $99.1 | |
| 1y | Flipadelphia | No / 99.0¢ | +444.58 | $440 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | Mattia.Ilenotti | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 1y | Herrard | No / 99.0¢ | +5.05 | $5 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.05 | $5 | |
| 1y | Gregogio | No / 99.0¢ | +3.03 | $3 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -3.03 | $3 | |
| 1y | Vodila | No / 99.0¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 1y | aeru7 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.01 | $1 |
1–25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 99%$0volume
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Yes 57%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Yes 69%$0volume
Megaquake by July 31?
No 96%$0volume
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 99%$0volume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 100%$0volume