
Volume
$63K
Txns
546
Traders
150
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between July 16, 9:00 PM, and August 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until September 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. Resolver
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | elon777 | No / 0.2¢ | -189.88 | $0.38 | |
| 10mo | lnkybtc | Yes / 99.8¢ | -335.83 | $335 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -145.95 | $0.29 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -74.00 | $0.15 | |
| 10mo | 0xc3aa...21bddc | Yes / 99.8¢ | -74.00 | $73.9 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -26.31 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | Gazillionaire | Yes / 99.8¢ | -26.31 | $26.3 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | SergeyLapa | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Banito26 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | SergeyLapa | No / 0.2¢ | +530.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -253.24 | $0.51 | |
| 10mo | Ardtysrt01 | No / 0.2¢ | -216.76 | $0.43 | |
| 10mo | Noguss | Yes / 99.9¢ | -140.00 | $140 | |
| 10mo | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | -140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 10mo | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 99.9¢ | +750.00 | $749 | |
| 10mo | tsybka | Yes / 99.9¢ | -750.00 | $749 | |
| 10mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,487.44 | $1.49K | |
| 10mo | tsybka | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,487.44 | $1.49K | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,010.00 | $1.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,710.00 | $2.71K | |
| 10mo | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 |
1–25
Is Earth flat?
No 97%$16.1Kvolume
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
No 61%$249volume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
No 99%$1.26Kvolume
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
No 88%$258volume
Megaquake by June 30?
No 92%$95.5Kvolume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 90%$98.8Kvolume