
Volume
$42K
Txns
845
Traders
188
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 25, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 55.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on October 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to October 25.
Trades
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in…
Yes 59%$0volume
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic p…
Yes 54%$0volume
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic…
No 63%$0volume
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Caro…
No 62%$0volume
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Yes 77%$0volume
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%…
No 66%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0x232789391E3bd6849bB456b0732E9F39FF626Fc7-1729526179244 | No / 99.9¢ | -45.53 | $45.5 | |
| 1y | DonaldRump | Yes / 0.1¢ | -45.53 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | betoor-301 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -286.58 | $2.58 | |
| 1y | user677119 | No / 99.1¢ | -286.58 | $284 | |
| 1y | user677119 | No / 99.2¢ | -400.00 | $397 | |
| 1y | averageuser | No / 99.2¢ | +400.00 | $397 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +231.25 | $231 | |
| 1y | 090x | No / 99.9¢ | -231.25 | $231 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | +35.56 | $35.5 | |
| 1y | Edizt | No / 99.9¢ | -35.56 | $35.5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -23.26 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | LTaker | No / 99.9¢ | -79.15 | $79.1 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | +55.89 | $55.8 | |
| 1y | Dzhi | No / 99.9¢ | -177.42 | $177 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -177.42 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | Edizt | No / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | meowinglion | No / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | Edizt | No / 98.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 98.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 1y | betoor-301 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +500.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 1y | betoor-301 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +55.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | meowinglion | No / 97.2¢ | +303.64 | $295 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 3.0¢ | +248.64 | $7.46 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 14.0¢ | -55.00 | $7.7 |
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