
Volume
$108K
Txns
2,058
Traders
316
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 3, 2026
Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary (total canvass votes in the primary) is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. If the first-round total vote count in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the either relevant election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Trades
1–25
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?
No 99%$52.1Kvolume
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Yes 100%$135Kvolume
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?
No 100%$5.8Kvolume
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
No 100%$18.1Kvolume
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?
No 100%$119Kvolume
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
No 100%$18.2Kvolume