
Volume
$888K
Txns
14,863
Traders
1,617
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 2% (inclusive) and 3% (exclusive) when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all U.S. States and the District of Columbia have certified their votes.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | Alex21512 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | Sophia7210 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,500.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | 11211 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,310.81 | $2.62 | |
| 1y | mn546 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -12.08 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | PokerWoman | Yes / 0.2¢ | -177.11 | $0.35 | |
| 1y | shadowpup | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,182.50 | $2.36 | |
| 1y | mn546 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,177.50 | $2.35 | |
| 1y | winnerpredict | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | striveboy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ytry354354 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | longbtc2009 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | uyuyt6756 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | 587EWER | Yes / 0.2¢ | -189.58 | $0.38 | |
| 1y | mn546 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -610.42 | $1.22 | |
| 1y | TRY54 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Mary1229 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,500.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | -805.00 | $0.81 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | 11211 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,310.81 | $1.31 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -305.81 | $0.31 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,035.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | 665569 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,035.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 78%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 57%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume