
Volume
$791K
Txns
20,896
Traders
1,626
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 1% (inclusive) and 2% (exclusive) when compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Democratic Party and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all U.S. States and the District of Columbia have certified their votes.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,817.71 | $1.82 | |
| 1y | AiAi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,817.71 | $1.82 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AiAi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -995.00 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | goodnews | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | botsidk | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | gavendickinson | Yes / 0.2¢ | +510.00 | $1.02 | |
| 1y | defigen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -510.00 | $1.02 | |
| 1y | defigen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | hkuoiu9 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | 43543534gg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | hkuoiu9 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | striveboy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 43543534gg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | lyfze1981 | No / 99.8¢ | -1,000.30 | $998 | |
| 1y | defigen | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.30 | $2 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.30 | $1 | |
| 1y | lyfze1981 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.30 | $999 | |
| 1y | Siziriv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.75 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.75 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | nwell6943 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | vicuxiv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.94 | $0 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.94 | $0 |
1–25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 80%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume