Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Democrat James Walkinshaw wins the 2025 special election for Virginia's 11th congressional district to replace former Representative Gerry Connolly by a 45% margin over the Republican candidate, Stewart Whitson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin of victory is calculated as the difference betweenJames Walkinshaw and Stewart Whitson. In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Virginia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.