
Volume
$387K
Txns
5,387
Traders
1,270
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
Since the recent ascendency of the DeepSeek AI model, rumors have been spreading that the company has made use of a large amount of Nvidia hardware that they do not report. You can find more information on that here: https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1883946417133383797 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that DeepSeek used Nvidia hardware banned from export to China in developing an AI model by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. Government or Nvidia definitively claiming that banned Nvidia chips were used, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming their use will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements for the U.S. Government and Nvidia.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Toastthetoast | No / 99.9¢ | -5.03 | $5.02 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.9¢ | -110.00 | $110 | |
| 1y | aikko | Yes / 0.1¢ | -115.03 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,333.00 | $3.33 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.9¢ | +7,893.03 | $7.89K | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,555.00 | $4.55 | |
| 1y | Jobitothemoon | No / 99.9¢ | -5.03 | $5.02 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.8¢ | +665.29 | $664 | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.2¢ | +665.29 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +1,268.00 | $1.27K | |
| 1y | Breadin3languages | Yes / 0.2¢ | +445.71 | $0.89 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.8¢ | -822.29 | $821 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.8¢ | -474.18 | $473 | |
| 1y | seto | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | 0x6f7a85Bd0B2986281EFA4ED6F41e364426C6C585-1736833487648 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +25.82 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | aikko | Yes / 0.7¢ | -428.57 | $3 | |
| 1y | 0x175CE751202BBFEC3293892C7eEA4B5bF4C61ee0-1740429778747 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +428.57 | $3 | |
| 1y | Gdub | No / 99.3¢ | -302.50 | $300 | |
| 1y | aikko | Yes / 0.7¢ | -189.50 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.6¢ | -45.77 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | aikko | Yes / 0.7¢ | -40.74 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | 0x6f7a85Bd0B2986281EFA4ED6F41e364426C6C585-1736833487648 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -26.49 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | fkuUMA | No / 99.8¢ | -123.59 | $123 | |
| 1y | 0xfcc8aa983d19e5872d6a762222550d750bd4815f | Yes / 0.2¢ | -123.59 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | 0x6f7a85Bd0B2986281EFA4ED6F41e364426C6C585-1736833487648 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +26.48 | $0.08 |
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