
Volume
$60K
Txns
2,275
Traders
650
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +0.59 | $0 | |
| 1y | rui01 | No / 99.9¢ | -405.00 | $405 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +655.59 | $655 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0x87677gma | No / 99.8¢ | +196.39 | $196 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +96.99 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +99.40 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pokgaikid | No / 99.8¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArctiCCC | No / 99.9¢ | +49.05 | $49 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +354.82 | $354 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +69.49 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +85.33 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | a5rui | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Rasalgethi | No / 99.7¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | Slaviqu | No / 99.7¢ | +2.01 | $2 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.46 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | asioc22ca | No / 99.7¢ | +20.46 | $20.4 | |
| 1y | anjali-abquod | No / 99.4¢ | +2.22 | $2.21 | |
| 1y | shamusmain | No / 99.4¢ | -2.22 | $2.21 |
1–25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 3…
Yes 50%$0volume
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
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Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August…
No 100%$0volume