
Volume
$60K
Txns
2,275
Traders
650
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 92%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 90%$0volume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 90%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 3…
Yes 55%$0volume
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +0.59 | $0 | |
| 1y | rui01 | No / 99.9¢ | -405.00 | $405 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +655.59 | $655 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0x87677gma | No / 99.8¢ | +196.39 | $196 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +96.99 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +99.40 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pokgaikid | No / 99.8¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArctiCCC | No / 99.9¢ | +49.05 | $49 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +354.82 | $354 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +69.49 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.2¢ | +85.33 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | a5rui | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Rasalgethi | No / 99.7¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | Slaviqu | No / 99.7¢ | +2.01 | $2 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | trenchesgirlcap | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.46 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | asioc22ca | No / 99.7¢ | +20.46 | $20.4 | |
| 1y | anjali-abquod | No / 99.4¢ | +2.22 | $2.21 | |
| 1y | shamusmain | No / 99.4¢ | -2.22 | $2.21 |
1–25