
Volume
$162K
Txns
2,571
Traders
534
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government ban that prohibits access or use of AI models owned by DeepSeek by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between January 26, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$796Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$809Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$813Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$351Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | Loxxed | Yes / 0.1¢ | -21.10 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | Basilomo | No / 99.9¢ | -21.10 | $21.1 | |
| 11mo | Loxxed | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,150.00 | $4.3 | |
| 11mo | mitraa | No / 99.8¢ | +2,150.00 | $2.15K | |
| 11mo | AreWeNotEntertained | No / 99.9¢ | +2,738.15 | $2.74K | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | -2,438.15 | $2.44K | |
| 11mo | foreveryoung11 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | -66.85 | $66.8 | |
| 11mo | InternationalBetter | Yes / 0.1¢ | -66.85 | $0.07 | |
| 11mo | kroko | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +2,505.00 | $2.5K | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | kroko | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.77 | $0 | |
| 11mo | ArcLing | No / 99.9¢ | +7.77 | $7.76 | |
| 11mo | illeron | No / 99.9¢ | +83.80 | $83.7 | |
| 11mo | kroko | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.80 | $0.08 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 11mo | iliabouchouev | No / 99.4¢ | +4.00 | $3.98 | |
| 11mo | Qualitative | No / 99.4¢ | -204.00 | $203 | |
| 11mo | rocky42024 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xa7b1...d68893 | No / 99.4¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 11mo | 0xcc66...4dc0b4 | No / 99.4¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 11mo | rocky42024 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | rocky42024 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 |
1–25